MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Liga MX match between Querétaro and Guadalajara is poised to be a captivating encounter. Querétaro, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio Corregidora to secure a crucial victory. Meanwhile, Guadalajara aims to continue their strong form and maintain their position in the upper echelons of the league table. This match is significant as both teams are vying for better standings in the current season, making every point vital.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Guadalajara as the favorites with odds of 1.97, indicating a 50.76% probability of an away win. Querétaro, with odds of 3.5, has a 28.57% chance of winning, while the draw is priced at 3.36, reflecting a 29.76% probability. Based on these odds, Guadalajara is expected to have the upper hand, but Querétaro's home advantage could play a pivotal role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Querétaro
Querétaro's season has been a mixed bag, with an average of 12 matches played. They have a 50% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals and a 41.67% rate of both teams scoring. Their possession stands at 36.33%, indicating a more defensive approach. Key strengths include their dribbling ability, with 11.17 dribbles per match and 6.92 successful dribbles. However, their defense has been porous, conceding 1.75 goals per game.
Guadalajara
Guadalajara has shown more attacking prowess, with 66.67% of their matches featuring over 2.5 goals and a 58.33% rate of both teams scoring. Their possession is significantly higher at 52.08%, allowing them to control the game more effectively. They average 12.33 shots per match, with 3.92 on target, showcasing their offensive capabilities. Defensively, they concede 1.5 goals per game, slightly better than Querétaro.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Querétaro
- Santiago Homenchenko: Leading scorer with 4 goals, crucial for Querétaro's attack.
- Alí Ávila: Contributed 3 goals, adding depth to the forward line.
Guadalajara
- Armando González: Top scorer with 6 goals, a key threat in the attacking third.
- Roberto Alvarado: With 2 goals, he provides additional firepower.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Querétaro's offensive rating stands at 323.96, while their defensive rating is 282.03. In contrast, Guadalajara boasts a higher offensive rating of 586.51 and a defensive rating of 391.58. Guadalajara's passing accuracy is superior, with 357.42 successful passes per match compared to Querétaro's 234.33. This passing efficiency allows Guadalajara to maintain possession and create more scoring opportunities.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical analysis and odds, Guadalajara is favored to win this match. Their superior offensive and defensive ratings, coupled with better possession and passing metrics, suggest they will dominate the game. However, Querétaro's home advantage and potential for counter-attacks could make the match competitive.
Final Score Prediction: Guadalajara 2-1 Querétaro Half Time Score Prediction: Guadalajara 1-0 Querétaro Probability of Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 65%
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