MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Ekstraklasa match between Puszcza Niepołomice and Radomiak Radom is set to be a captivating contest. Both teams are eager to secure vital points as the season progresses, making this fixture crucial for their respective campaigns. Puszcza Niepołomice will host Radomiak Radom at their home ground, providing them with a slight advantage in terms of familiarity and support from local fans.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Puszcza Niepołomice having odds of 2.64 to win, while Radomiak Radom is slightly favored at 2.53. The draw is priced at 3.19, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a realistic chance of securing a victory. The probabilities derived from these odds suggest a 37.88% chance for Puszcza Niepołomice to win, a 31.35% chance for a draw, and a 39.53% chance for Radomiak Radom to emerge victorious.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Puszcza Niepołomice
Puszcza Niepołomice has had a mixed season, with an average of 28 matches played. Their offensive capabilities are moderate, with an average of 0.96 goals per game and a possession rate of 40.79%. Defensively, they concede 1.5 goals per match, which is a concern against a team like Radomiak Radom. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 1.25, indicating potential for improvement in finishing.
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom has shown stronger offensive prowess, averaging 1.36 goals per game and maintaining a possession rate of 47.89%. Their defensive record is similar to Puszcza Niepołomice, conceding 1.54 goals per match. With an expected goals (xG) of 1.6, Radomiak Radom appears to have a slight edge in attacking efficiency.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, with neither side dominating the other. This adds an element of unpredictability to the fixture, as both teams have the capability to outperform expectations.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Puszcza Niepołomice
- Michalis Kosidis: Leading the goal-scoring chart for Puszcza with 8 goals, Kosidis will be crucial in breaking down Radomiak's defense.
- Artur Craciun: A key defensive figure, Craciun has also contributed 5 goals, showcasing his versatility.
Radomiak Radom
- Leonardo Rocha: With 11 goals this season, Rocha is Radomiak's primary attacking threat and will be pivotal in their offensive strategy.
- Jan Grzesik: A consistent performer, Grzesik has scored 5 goals and provides stability in midfield.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Puszcza Niepołomice: Average 9.36 shots per game, with 3.18 on target.
- Radomiak Radom: Average 12.46 shots per game, with 3.96 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Puszcza Niepołomice: Average 46.64 interceptions per game.
- Radomiak Radom: Average 42.57 interceptions per game.
Possession and Passing
- Puszcza Niepołomice: Average 272.25 passes per game, with a success rate of 206.43.
- Radomiak Radom: Average 358 passes per game, with a success rate of 287.14.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Radomiak Radom appears to have a slight advantage due to their superior offensive metrics and possession statistics. However, Puszcza Niepołomice's home advantage could play a significant role in leveling the playing field. Key factors such as individual performances from players like Leonardo Rocha and Michalis Kosidis will be crucial in determining the outcome.
Final Score Prediction
Radomiak Radom is expected to edge out Puszcza Niepołomice with a narrow victory, potentially ending with a scoreline of 2-1. The match is likely to be competitive, with both teams having opportunities to score.