Match Overview
Radomiak Radom and Pogoń Szczecin are set to face off in a pivotal Ekstraklasa match that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. Radomiak Radom, currently mid-table, will be looking to leverage their home advantage to secure a win against a formidable Pogoń Szczecin side. Meanwhile, Pogoń Szczecin, aiming for a top-tier finish, will be eager to capitalize on their strong form and secure three points on the road.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Pogoń Szczecin slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Home Win: 2.99
- Draw: 3.47
- Away Win: 2.16
These odds translate to probabilities of:
- Home Win: 33.44%
- Draw: 28.82%
- Away Win: 46.30%
Given these probabilities, Pogoń Szczecin is expected to have the upper hand, but Radomiak Radom's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Team Analysis
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom has shown resilience this season, with a decent average of 1.35 goals per match. Their offensive play is bolstered by Leonardo Rocha, who has netted 11 goals. However, their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding an average of 1.52 goals per game.
- Strengths: High Both Teams To Score percentage (67.74%), effective dribbling (11.55 successful dribbles per match)
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense (1.52 goals conceded per match), lower possession (48.03%)
Pogoń Szczecin
Pogoń Szczecin has been impressive, with a higher average possession (55.77%) and a potent attack led by Efthymios Koulouris, who has scored 25 goals this season. Their defense is relatively solid, conceding only 1.13 goals per match.
- Strengths: Strong offensive play (1.73 goals per match), high possession rate
- Weaknesses: Lower Both Teams To Score percentage (40%), occasional defensive lapses
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Pogoń Szczecin has had the upper hand in this fixture, often securing victories against Radomiak Radom. This trend could continue given their current form and statistical advantages.
Tactical Approaches
Radomiak Radom is likely to focus on exploiting counter-attacks and set-pieces, given their lower possession stats. Pogoń Szczecin, on the other hand, will aim to control the game through their superior passing and possession.
Key Players Spotlight
Radomiak Radom
- Leonardo Rocha: 11 goals, pivotal in attack
- Jan Grzesik: 5 goals, versatile midfielder
Pogoń Szczecin
- Efthymios Koulouris: 25 goals, top scorer
- Kamil Grosicki: 5 goals, experienced winger
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Radomiak Radom: 12.32 shots per match, 3.87 on target
- Pogoń Szczecin: 14.3 shots per match, 5.37 on target
Defensive Metrics
- Radomiak Radom: 42.16 interceptions per match
- Pogoń Szczecin: 38.93 interceptions per match
Possession and Passing
- Radomiak Radom: 356.1 passes per match, 285.39 successful
- Pogoń Szczecin: 463.4 passes per match, 385.1 successful
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Pogoń Szczecin is likely to emerge victorious, leveraging their superior offensive capabilities and possession stats. However, Radomiak Radom's home advantage and fighting spirit could make this a closely contested match.
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Pogoń Szczecin's attacking prowess and possession control
- Radomiak Radom's counter-attacking opportunities and set-piece effectiveness
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Pogoń Szczecin
- Half Time: Radomiak Radom 0-1 Pogoń Szczecin
This match promises to be an exciting clash, with both teams eager to secure vital points in their quest for a successful season.