Match Overview
Raków Częstochowa and Jagiellonia Białystok are set to face off in a pivotal Ekstraklasa match that could have significant implications for the league standings. Raków, currently enjoying a strong season, will look to leverage their home advantage against a resilient Jagiellonia side. The match will take place at Raków's home stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 18:15 on May 10, 2025.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest Raków Częstochowa as the favorites with odds of 1.75, indicating a 57.14% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.59, translating to a 27.86% chance, while Jagiellonia Białystok's odds of 4.23 suggest a 23.64% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Raków is expected to secure the win, but Jagiellonia's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
Team Analysis
Raków Częstochowa
Raków has been impressive this season, with a solid average possession of 53.61% and a commendable goal-scoring rate of 1.52 goals per match. Their defense has been particularly strong, conceding only 0.61 goals per game. Raków's ability to control the game is evident in their average of 407.58 passes per match, with a high success rate of 339.77.
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia has shown attacking prowess, averaging 1.68 goals per match and a higher Both Teams To Score percentage of 58.06%. Their possession rate is slightly lower at 53.26%, but they excel in interceptions, averaging 40.16 per game. Jagiellonia's defense has been less robust, conceding 1.26 goals per match.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Raków has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often capitalizing on their home advantage. However, Jagiellonia's attacking capabilities could pose a threat, especially given their higher average goals per match.
Tactical Approaches
Raków is likely to focus on maintaining possession and exploiting their defensive strengths, while Jagiellonia may adopt a more aggressive approach, leveraging their offensive capabilities to challenge Raków's defense.
Key Players Spotlight
Raków Częstochowa
- Jonatan Braut Brunes: Leading the scoring charts with 12 goals, Brunes is a key figure in Raków's attack.
- Ivi López: With 7 goals, López's creativity and finishing are crucial for Raków.
Jagiellonia Białystok
- Jesús Imaz: A standout performer with 15 goals, Imaz is Jagiellonia's main attacking threat.
- Afimico Pululu: Contributing 8 goals, Pululu adds depth to Jagiellonia's forward line.
Statistical Deep Dive
Raków's defensive metrics, including 36.32 interceptions and 5.03 clearances per match, highlight their ability to disrupt opposition attacks. Jagiellonia's offensive stats, such as 1.69 expected goals and 3.45 key passes per game, underscore their attacking potential.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given Raków's strong home form and defensive solidity, they are favored to win this match. However, Jagiellonia's attacking prowess could lead to a competitive encounter. Key factors will include Raków's ability to maintain possession and Jagiellonia's effectiveness in breaking down Raków's defense.
Final Score Prediction: Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Jagiellonia Białystok Half Time Score Prediction: Raków Częstochowa 1-0 Jagiellonia Białystok Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%