Match Overview
Dundee and St. Johnstone face off in a pivotal Scottish Premiership match that could shape their respective seasons. Both teams are looking to climb the league table, making this encounter at Dens Park a must-watch for fans and analysts alike.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Dundee, with odds of 2.19 for a home win, compared to 3.34 for a draw and 3.3 for a St. Johnstone victory. This translates to a probability of approximately 45.7% for a Dundee win, 29.9% for a draw, and 30.3% for a St. Johnstone win. The odds indicate a closely contested match, with Dundee having a marginal advantage.
Team Analysis
Dundee
- Current Form: Dundee has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.43 goals per match and a concerning 2.14 goals conceded per game.
- Strengths: High percentage of over 2.5 goals (75%) and both teams to score (71.43%) suggest an attacking mindset.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties are evident with a high number of goals conceded and an expected goals against of 1.77.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Dundee has had competitive encounters with St. Johnstone, making this match unpredictable.
St. Johnstone
- Current Form: St. Johnstone has been slightly less prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.11 goals per match.
- Strengths: Better possession stats (53.46%) and a solid passing game with 357.57 successful passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Similar defensive issues with 1.89 goals conceded per game.
- Head-to-Head: Matches against Dundee have often been tight, with both teams having their share of victories.
Key Players Spotlight
- Dundee: Simon Murray is a key player with 10 goals this season, supported by Lyall Cameron and Seb Palmer-Houlden.
- St. Johnstone: Nicky Clark, Makenzie Kirk, and Benjamin Kimpioka, each with 6 goals, are crucial for St. Johnstone's attacking threat.
- Matchups: The battle between Dundee's Simon Murray and St. Johnstone's defensive line will be pivotal.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Dundee averages more shots (9.36) compared to St. Johnstone (8.89), but both have similar shots on target.
- Defensive Metrics: St. Johnstone has a slight edge in defensive stability with fewer dangerous own half losses.
- Possession and Passing: St. Johnstone's superior possession and passing accuracy could be decisive.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Dundee's attacking prowess and home advantage give them a slight edge. However, St. Johnstone's possession game and passing accuracy could counterbalance Dundee's strengths. Expect a closely fought match with potential for goals from both sides.
Final Score Prediction: Dundee 2-1 St. Johnstone Half Time Score Prediction: Dundee 1-1 St. Johnstone Both Teams to Score Probability: 70% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%
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