MATCH OVERVIEW
Dundee and St. Mirren are set to clash in a crucial Scottish Premiership match at Dens Park. This fixture holds significant importance as both teams aim to improve their standings in the league. Dundee, currently struggling to find consistent form, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage. Meanwhile, St. Mirren, with a slightly better record, will be keen to secure an away victory to bolster their position.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with St. Mirren slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Dundee (Home): 2.9
- Draw: 3.11
- St. Mirren (Away): 2.25
These odds translate to probabilities of:
- Dundee win: 34.5%
- Draw: 32.1%
- St. Mirren win: 44.4%
Given these probabilities, St. Mirren is expected to have a slight edge, but the possibility of a draw remains significant.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Dundee
Dundee's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 12 matches played. Their offensive struggles are evident, averaging only 0.75 goals per game. Defensively, they concede 1.83 goals per match, highlighting vulnerabilities at the back. Their possession rate of 39.25% indicates a need for improvement in controlling the game.
St. Mirren
St. Mirren has shown better form, with an average of 11 matches played. They possess a slightly higher goal average of 0.73 per game and concede 1.36 goals, showcasing a more balanced approach. Their possession rate of 45% suggests they can control the game better than Dundee.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. Tactical approaches will be crucial, with Dundee likely to focus on defensive solidity, while St. Mirren may exploit their offensive capabilities.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Dundee
- Clark Robertson: With 2 goals this season, Robertson will be key in Dundee's attacking efforts.
- Jon McCracken: Leading in points, McCracken's performance will be vital in goal.
St. Mirren
- Dan Nlundulu: A top scorer with 2 goals, Nlundulu will be a threat to Dundee's defense.
- Shamal George: With the highest points, George's goalkeeping skills will be crucial.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Dundee averages 7.25 shots per game, with 2.42 on target.
- St. Mirren averages 9.36 shots, with 3.36 on target.
- Dundee's expected goals (xG) is 0.74, while St. Mirren's is 1.01.
Possession and Passing
- Dundee's possession rate is 39.25%, with 307.67 passes per game.
- St. Mirren's possession rate is 45%, with 332.45 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, St. Mirren appears to have a slight advantage due to their better offensive and defensive metrics. Key factors such as possession and passing accuracy could determine the outcome. While Dundee will aim to leverage their home advantage, St. Mirren's balanced approach might secure them a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: St. Mirren 2-1 Dundee Half Time Score Prediction: St. Mirren 1-0 Dundee Probability of Both Teams to Score: 41.67% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 50%
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