MATCH OVERVIEW
Kilmarnock and Hearts are gearing up for a pivotal clash in the Scottish Premiership. As the season nears its end, every point is vital, and both teams will be eager to secure a win. The match will take place at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock's home ground, on May 18, 2025, at 2:00 PM. With the stakes high, fans can expect a fiercely contested battle.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds suggest a closely fought match, with Hearts slightly favored to win. The average odds are 2.62 for Kilmarnock, 3.07 for a draw, and 2.14 for Hearts. This translates to a 38.17% probability for a Kilmarnock win, 32.57% for a draw, and 46.73% for a Hearts victory. Given these odds, Hearts are expected to edge out Kilmarnock, but the home side's chances cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock has had a mixed season, with an average of 1.25 goals per game and a possession rate of 45.58%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.67 goals per match. However, their attacking prowess, led by Bruce Anderson with 11 goals, provides hope.
Hearts
Hearts have shown stronger form, averaging 1.36 goals per game and maintaining 53.31% possession. Their defense is more solid, conceding 1.28 goals per match. Lawrence Shankland, with 8 goals, is a key player for Hearts.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Hearts have had the upper hand in this fixture, but Kilmarnock's home advantage could play a crucial role.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Kilmarnock
- Bruce Anderson: Top scorer with 11 goals, crucial for Kilmarnock's attack.
- Joe Wright: Defensive stalwart, contributing significantly to the team's performance.
Hearts
- Lawrence Shankland: Leading goal scorer with 8 goals, vital for Hearts' offensive strategy.
- James Penrice: Key defensive player, ensuring stability at the back.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Kilmarnock: 11.14 shots per game, 3.78 on target.
- Hearts: 11.78 shots per game, 4.25 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Kilmarnock: 41.44 interceptions, 8.67 clearances.
- Hearts: 40.53 interceptions, 7.44 clearances.
Possession and Passing
- Kilmarnock: 301.75 passes, 219.14 successful.
- Hearts: 444.06 passes, 357.33 successful.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hearts are slightly favored to win, but Kilmarnock's home advantage and attacking threat could lead to an upset. Key factors will include Hearts' possession dominance and Kilmarnock's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Kilmarnock 1-2 Hearts
- Half Time: Kilmarnock 0-1 Hearts
Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 52.78% for BTTS and 55.56% for over 2.5 goals. Expect a competitive match with Hearts narrowly securing the win.