MATCH OVERVIEW
St. Mirren and Aberdeen are set to face off in a crucial Scottish Premiership match at the SMISA Stadium. Scheduled for May 3, 2025, at 2:00 PM, this encounter holds significant importance as both teams strive to secure their positions in the league standings. St. Mirren, playing at home, will aim to utilize their familiarity with the venue to gain an edge over Aberdeen, who are known for their strategic play and possession dominance.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with St. Mirren's win probability at 38.8%, a draw at 29.9%, and Aberdeen's win probability at 37.6%. These odds indicate a balanced matchup, with neither team having a clear advantage. The expected outcome, based on these odds, leans slightly towards a draw, reflecting the competitive nature of both teams.
TEAM ANALYSIS
St. Mirren
St. Mirren has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.36 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.06%. Their offensive play is characterized by a high number of dribbles, averaging 18.85 per game, and a successful dribble rate of 13.91. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.64 goals per match.
Aberdeen
Aberdeen boasts a stronger possession game, averaging 53.12%, and matches St. Mirren in goals per game at 1.36. Their passing accuracy is superior, with 349.09 successful passes per match, indicating a well-coordinated team effort. Defensively, they concede slightly fewer goals than St. Mirren, at 1.48 per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between St. Mirren and Aberdeen have been tightly contested, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical approach from Aberdeen, focusing on possession and passing, contrasts with St. Mirren's more direct style of play.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
St. Mirren
- Toyosi Olusanya: Leading the goal-scoring chart for St. Mirren with 8 goals, Olusanya's form will be crucial.
- Marcus Fraser: A key defensive player, Fraser's performance will be vital in countering Aberdeen's attacks.
Aberdeen
- Kevin Nisbet: With 9 goals this season, Nisbet is Aberdeen's top scorer and a constant threat in the attacking third.
- Mats Knoester: Knoester's defensive prowess will be essential in maintaining Aberdeen's solid backline.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- St. Mirren: Average 10.52 shots per game, with 4 on target.
- Aberdeen: Slightly higher at 10.94 shots per game, but fewer on target at 3.61.
Defensive Metrics
- St. Mirren: Concede 1.64 goals per match, with 41.88 interceptions.
- Aberdeen: Concede 1.48 goals per match, with 39.39 interceptions.
Possession and Passing
- St. Mirren: 292.18 passes per game, with a success rate of 213.27.
- Aberdeen: 434.06 passes per game, with a success rate of 349.09.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having strengths in different areas. St. Mirren's home advantage and dribbling skills could be pivotal, while Aberdeen's possession and passing accuracy might give them the edge. The key to victory will likely lie in the ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity.
Final Score Prediction
Given the balanced nature of both teams, a 1-1 draw seems a likely outcome, with both teams scoring.
Half Time Score Prediction
A cautious start might lead to a 0-0 scoreline at halftime.
Match-Winning Factors
- St. Mirren: Utilizing home advantage and capitalizing on dribbling skills.
- Aberdeen: Leveraging possession and passing accuracy to control the game.