MATCH OVERVIEW
St. Mirren and Dundee United are gearing up for a crucial Scottish Premiership match that could shape their season trajectories. Scheduled to kick off at 3:00 PM at the SMISA Stadium, this fixture is pivotal for both teams as they aim to secure vital points. St. Mirren, with a mixed bag of performances, will be keen to capitalize on their home ground advantage, while Dundee United, known for their attacking flair, will look to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with St. Mirren slightly favored at 1.99, indicating a 50.3% probability of a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 3.15, translating to a 31.7% chance, while Dundee United's odds of 3.13 suggest a 31.9% probability of an away victory. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the fixture, with both teams having realistic chances of securing a win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
St. Mirren
St. Mirren's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 0.69 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.85%. Their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.46 goals per game, which they need to tighten against Dundee United's potent attack. Despite their struggles, St. Mirren's dribbling success rate of 80.3% and their ability to intercept (43.54 per game) could be crucial in disrupting Dundee United's rhythm.
Dundee United
Dundee United has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.46 goals per match. Their possession mirrors St. Mirren's at 44.85%, but their offensive metrics, including 11.31 shots per game and a higher shots on target rate of 4.77, highlight their attacking threat. Defensively, they concede 1.62 goals per match, which could be a concern against a determined St. Mirren side.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
St. Mirren
- Shamal George: A key figure in defense, his performance will be crucial in keeping Dundee United at bay.
- Dan Nlundulu: With 2 goals this season, he will be pivotal in leading St. Mirren's attack.
Dundee United
- Ivan Dolcek: The top scorer with 6 goals, Dolcek's form will be vital for Dundee United's offensive strategy.
- Krisztián Keresztes: His contributions in midfield could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Dundee United's offensive rating of 562.58 surpasses St. Mirren's 475.56, indicating a stronger attacking capability.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive ratings, with Dundee United slightly ahead at 399.55 compared to St. Mirren's 350.75.
- Passing and Duels: Dundee United's passing accuracy and duel success rate are higher, which could give them an edge in maintaining possession and winning key battles.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Dundee United appears to have a slight edge due to their superior attacking metrics and goal-scoring ability. However, St. Mirren's home advantage and potential for defensive resilience could make this a tightly contested match. The key to victory will likely lie in the ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and maintain defensive solidity.
Final Score Prediction: St. Mirren 1-2 Dundee United Half Time Score Prediction: St. Mirren 0-1 Dundee United Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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