Match Overview
The clash between Mirandés and Tenerife in La Liga 2 is more than just a regular fixture; it's a battle for positioning and momentum as the season progresses. Mirandés, currently enjoying a decent run, will look to leverage their home ground advantage at the Estadio Municipal de Anduva. Meanwhile, Tenerife, despite being the underdogs, will aim to disrupt Mirandés' plans and secure valuable points on the road.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for Mirandés, with odds of 1.88 for a home win, translating to a 53.2% probability. The draw is priced at 3.07, indicating a 32.6% chance, while an away win for Tenerife is considered less likely at 4.69, with a 21.3% probability. Based on these odds, Mirandés is expected to have the upper hand, but the potential for a draw cannot be overlooked.
Team Analysis
Mirandés
- Current Form: Mirandés has shown resilience this season, with an average of 1.29 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.82 goals on average.
- Strengths: Their defensive solidity, highlighted by an average of 37.46 interceptions per game, and a strong home record.
- Weaknesses: A relatively low possession rate of 44.14% could be a concern against a possession-oriented team.
Tenerife
- Current Form: Tenerife has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.82 goals per match, but they have shown potential in creating chances with an expected goals (xG) of 1.18.
- Strengths: Their ability to intercept and disrupt play, averaging 38.64 interceptions per game.
- Weaknesses: A higher average of goals conceded (1.5) suggests vulnerabilities in their defense.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Mirandés and Tenerife have had closely contested matches, with Mirandés often having the edge at home. This trend could continue given their current form and statistical advantages.
Tactical Approaches
Mirandés is likely to adopt a balanced approach, focusing on solid defense and quick transitions, while Tenerife may emphasize possession and counter-attacks to exploit any defensive lapses by Mirandés.
Key Players Spotlight
Mirandés
- Joaquín Panichelli: A key figure with 13 goals this season, his form will be crucial for Mirandés' attacking prospects.
- Jon Gorrotxategi: Contributing both defensively and offensively, his versatility adds depth to the team.
Tenerife
- Yussi Diarra: With 5 goals, he remains a pivotal player in Tenerife's attacking setup.
- Jérémy Mellot: Known for his defensive contributions, his performance could be vital in containing Mirandés' forwards.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Mirandés averages 10.25 shots per game with a conversion rate that could be improved, while Tenerife's 9.82 shots indicate a need for more clinical finishing.
- Defensive Metrics: Mirandés' lower goals conceded average (0.82) compared to Tenerife (1.5) highlights their defensive edge.
- Possession and Passing: Tenerife's higher possession (45.96%) and passing accuracy could be a factor in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical insights and current form, Mirandés is favored to win, leveraging their defensive strength and home advantage. Key factors such as Panichelli's goal-scoring prowess and Tenerife's defensive frailties could be decisive. Expect a closely fought match with Mirandés edging out Tenerife.
Final Score Prediction: Mirandés 2-1 Tenerife Half Time Score Prediction: Mirandés 1-0 Tenerife Both Teams to Score Probability: 40% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%