MATCH OVERVIEW
Athletic Bilbao welcomes Deportivo Alavés to San Mamés in what promises to be an exciting La Liga fixture. Scheduled for September 14, 2025, at 17:00 GMT, this match is pivotal for both teams as they aim to establish their positions in the league table. Athletic Bilbao, with their strong home record, will be looking to capitalize on their attacking strengths, while Deportivo Alavés will strive to counter with their solid defensive setup.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Athletic Bilbao with a 1.54 chance of winning, translating to a probability of approximately 65%. The draw is priced at 4.06, offering a 24.6% chance, while Deportivo Alavés is given a 6.05 chance, equating to a 16.5% probability of an upset. Based on these odds, Athletic Bilbao is expected to dominate, but the possibility of a draw cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Athletic Bilbao
- Current Form: Athletic Bilbao has shown impressive form, averaging 3 goals per match and maintaining a 100% record in both Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score.
- Strengths: High offensive rating (1134.01) and successful dribbles (20) highlight their attacking capabilities.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 2 goals conceded per match.
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Averaging 1 goal per match, Alavés has a balanced approach with a possession rate of 56.5%.
- Strengths: Strong duels rating (584.62) and successful passes (401) indicate their ability to control the game.
- Weaknesses: Limited offensive output with only 1 goal per match.
Head-to-Head
Athletic Bilbao has historically had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage to secure victories.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Athletic Bilbao
- Nico Williams: With 419.63 points and 1 goal, Williams is a key offensive threat.
- Oihan Sancet: Contributing 291.15 points and 1 goal, Sancet's playmaking is crucial.
Deportivo Alavés
- Toni Martínez: Scoring 1 goal and accumulating 298.57 points, Martínez is vital for Alavés' attack.
- Nahuel Tenaglia: With 291.22 points, Tenaglia's defensive prowess will be essential.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Athletic Bilbao: High expected goals (2.18) and successful dribbles (20) underline their attacking threat.
- Deportivo Alavés: Strong possession (56.5%) and successful passes (401) showcase their ability to maintain control.
- Advantage: Athletic Bilbao's offensive metrics suggest they have the edge in creating scoring opportunities.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Athletic Bilbao is likely to leverage their attacking strengths and home advantage to secure a win. Key factors include their high expected goals and successful dribbles. Deportivo Alavés will need to focus on their defensive organization to counter Bilbao's offensive threats.
Final Score Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Deportivo Alavés Half Time Score Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Deportivo Alavés Both Teams To Score Probability: 75% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 80%
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