MATCH OVERVIEW
Las Palmas and Leganés are set to clash in a pivotal La Liga match that could significantly impact their season standings. With Las Palmas playing at home, they will look to leverage their familiar surroundings to gain an advantage over Leganés. The match, scheduled for May 18, 2025, at 17:00, will be held at the Estadio de Gran Canaria, promising an electrifying atmosphere.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Las Palmas, with a home win priced at 1.94, indicating a probability of approximately 51.5%. The odds for a draw stand at 3.51, translating to a 28.5% chance, while Leganés' victory is priced at 3.92, giving them a 25.5% probability. These odds reflect Las Palmas' home advantage and slightly better form.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Las Palmas
Las Palmas have shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.14 goals per match and a possession rate of 49.4%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 54.29% over 2.5 goals percentage and a 68.57% both teams to score rate. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.63 goals per game.
Leganés
Leganés have struggled offensively, averaging just 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 42.86%. Their over 2.5 goals percentage is lower at 40%, and they have a 48.57% both teams to score rate. Defensively, they concede 1.51 goals per game, slightly better than Las Palmas.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Las Palmas have had the upper hand in this fixture, often capitalizing on their home advantage. However, Leganés have shown resilience in past encounters, making this match unpredictable.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Las Palmas
- Fábio Silva: With 10 goals this season, Silva is a key offensive threat.
- Sandro Ramírez: Another crucial player with 9 goals, capable of changing the game's dynamics.
Leganés
- Dani Raba: Leading the scoring for Leganés with 7 goals, Raba's performance will be vital.
- Munir El Haddadi: Known for his creative play, he can unlock defenses with his skill.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Las Palmas average 10.23 shots per game, with 3.77 on target.
- Leganés average 7.97 shots per game, with 2.71 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Las Palmas make 41.26 interceptions per game, while Leganés average 42.63.
- Leganés have a higher successful tackle rate, averaging 3.71 compared to Las Palmas' 2.74.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Las Palmas are favored to win, given their home advantage and slightly better offensive statistics. Key factors will include their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity against Leganés' counter-attacks. The final score prediction is a 2-1 victory for Las Palmas, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 68%, and the match is expected to have over 2.5 goals, with a 54% chance.