MATCH OVERVIEW
Real Valladolid will face Deportivo Alavés in a pivotal La Liga match that could significantly impact their standings. With the season drawing to a close, every point is crucial for both teams. The match is scheduled to take place at the Estadio José Zorrilla, providing Real Valladolid with the home advantage.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Deportivo Alavés with a 1.64 chance of winning, indicating a strong probability of an away victory. Real Valladolid's odds stand at 5.34, suggesting a challenging match for the home side. The draw is priced at 3.87, reflecting a moderate likelihood of a stalemate.
- Home Win Probability: 18.7%
- Draw Probability: 25.8%
- Away Win Probability: 55.5%
Given these odds, Deportivo Alavés is expected to dominate, but Real Valladolid could capitalize on their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid has struggled this season, with a low average of 0.74 goals per match and a high concession rate of 2.43 goals. Their possession rate of 43.74% indicates a tendency to play defensively, relying on counter-attacks.
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés has shown better form, averaging 1 goal per match and conceding 1.34 goals. Their possession rate of 45.09% suggests a balanced approach, with a focus on maintaining control and creating opportunities.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Deportivo Alavés has had the upper hand in this fixture, often securing victories against Real Valladolid.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Real Valladolid
- Mamadou Sylla: Top scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Valladolid's attacking play.
- Enzo Boyomo: Key defensive player, leading in points.
Deportivo Alavés
- Kike García: Leading scorer with 12 goals, a significant threat to Valladolid's defense.
- Nahuel Tenaglia: Defensive stalwart, contributing significantly to Alavés' stability.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Real Valladolid averages 8 shots per match, with 2.63 on target.
- Deportivo Alavés averages 9.17 shots, with 3.4 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Real Valladolid concedes 2.43 goals per match, while Alavés concedes 1.34.
Possession and Passing
- Valladolid's possession is 43.74%, with 350.23 passes per match.
- Alavés holds 45.09% possession, with 332.97 passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Deportivo Alavés is likely to secure a victory based on their superior form and statistical advantages. Real Valladolid's defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by Alavés' attacking prowess.
- Predicted Final Score: 1-2 in favor of Deportivo Alavés
- Key Factors: Alavés' attacking strength and Valladolid's defensive weaknesses
In conclusion, Deportivo Alavés is expected to emerge victorious, leveraging their offensive capabilities and historical dominance in this fixture.