Match Overview
Deportivo Alavés and Villarreal are set to clash in a pivotal La Liga match that could shape their respective seasons. Alavés, currently struggling to find consistency, will look to leverage their home advantage against a Villarreal side that has shown attacking prowess throughout the season. The outcome of this match could influence the mid-table dynamics, with both teams eager to secure a win.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Villarreal, with odds of 2.43 for an away win compared to 2.94 for a home victory and 3.2 for a draw. This translates to a probability of approximately 41% for Villarreal to win, 34% for Alavés, and 31% for a draw. The odds indicate a competitive match, but Villarreal's superior form gives them a slight advantage.
Team Analysis
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Alavés have struggled this season, with an average of 1.12 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.76%.
- Strengths: Strong in duels with an average of 104.52 successful duels per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Alavés have found it challenging against Villarreal, often struggling to contain their attacking threats.
Villarreal
- Current Form: Villarreal have been impressive, scoring an average of 1.92 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 47.96%.
- Strengths: High offensive output with 13.2 shots per match and a strong passing game.
- Weaknesses: Defensive lapses, conceding 1.4 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Villarreal have a favorable record against Alavés, often dominating possession and creating more chances.
Key Players Spotlight
Deportivo Alavés
- Kike García: Top scorer with 10 goals, crucial for Alavés' attacking play.
- Carles Aleñá: Key midfielder with 234.5 points, instrumental in controlling the tempo.
Villarreal
- Ayoze Pérez: Leading scorer with 11 goals, a constant threat in the final third.
- Álex Baena: Creative force with 298.72 points, pivotal in linking play.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Villarreal lead with 1.92 goals per match compared to Alavés' 1.12.
- Defensive Metrics: Alavés concede more goals on average (1.56) than Villarreal (1.4).
- Possession and Passing: Villarreal's superior passing accuracy and possession could be decisive.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on current form and statistical analysis, Villarreal are favored to win this encounter. Their attacking depth and superior passing game could be the deciding factors. Alavés will need to capitalize on set-pieces and counter-attacks to challenge Villarreal's defense. Expect a closely contested match with Villarreal edging out a victory.