MATCH OVERVIEW
Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund are set to face off in a highly anticipated Bundesliga match at the Volkswagen Arena. Scheduled for February 7, 2026, at 14:30 GMT, this clash promises to be a pivotal moment in the season for both teams. Dortmund, currently in the hunt for the top positions, will be eager to secure three points, while Wolfsburg aims to leverage their home advantage to climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong leaning towards an away victory for Borussia Dortmund, with odds of 1.74. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, is seen as the underdog with odds of 4.18, while a draw is priced at 3.91. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 57.5% for a Dortmund win, 24.3% for a Wolfsburg victory, and 25.6% for a draw. Given Dortmund's superior form and squad depth, the odds favor them to come out on top.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg has had a mixed season, with an average of 1.47 goals per match and a concerning average of 2.11 goals conceded. Their offensive play is highlighted by a 68.42% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. However, their defensive frailties, with an expected goals against of 1.92, could be a significant weakness against Dortmund's potent attack.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund has been impressive, averaging 2 goals per match and maintaining a solid defensive record with only 0.89 goals conceded on average. Their possession rate of 52.58% and a higher successful pass rate suggest a team that controls the game well. Dortmund's ability to convert chances, with an expected goals of 1.64, positions them as favorites in this matchup.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Dortmund has had the upper hand in this fixture, often dominating possession and creating more scoring opportunities. Wolfsburg will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Wolfsburg
- Mohamed Amoura: With 7 goals this season, Amoura is Wolfsburg's top scorer and a key player in their attacking setup.
- Maximilian Arnold: A crucial figure in midfield, Arnold's playmaking abilities will be vital for Wolfsburg's chances.
Borussia Dortmund
- Serhou Guirassy: Leading the scoring charts for Dortmund with 6 goals, Guirassy's form will be crucial.
- Nico Schlotterbeck: A defensive stalwart, Schlotterbeck's performances have been instrumental in Dortmund's solid defensive record.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Dortmund averages 11.63 shots per game compared to Wolfsburg's 10.53, indicating a more aggressive attacking approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Dortmund's defense is more robust, conceding only 0.89 goals per game, while Wolfsburg concedes 2.11.
- Possession and Passing: Dortmund's superior possession (52.58%) and passing accuracy highlight their control over games.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Borussia Dortmund is favored to win this encounter. Their superior offensive and defensive metrics, combined with a strong head-to-head record against Wolfsburg, suggest they will likely secure a victory. Key factors such as Dortmund's ability to control possession and convert chances will be decisive.
Final Score Prediction: Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund Half Time Score Prediction: Wolfsburg 0-1 Borussia Dortmund Both Teams to Score Probability: 78.95% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 68.42%
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