Match Overview
The upcoming Eredivisie clash between Almere City and NAC Breda is pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings. Almere City, currently struggling in the lower half of the table, will be desperate for a win to boost their morale and points tally. Meanwhile, NAC Breda, sitting mid-table, will aim to secure an away victory to push towards the top half.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are: Home 2.66, Draw 3.53, Away 2.37. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with NAC Breda slightly favored to win. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 37.6%, a draw at 28.3%, and an away win at 42.1%. Given these odds, NAC Breda is expected to have a slight edge, but Almere City's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Team Analysis
Almere City
- Current Form: Almere City has struggled this season, with an average of 0.65 goals per match and conceding 2.04 goals.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is notable at 67.6%, and they have a solid interception rate of 43.35 per match.
- Weaknesses: Scoring has been a challenge, with only 0.65 goals per game and a low BTTS percentage of 34.78%.
NAC Breda
- Current Form: NAC Breda has shown better form, averaging 1.08 goals per match and conceding 1.75 goals.
- Strengths: They have a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.21 and a better passing accuracy with 279.88 successful passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with 1.75 goals conceded per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, NAC Breda has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Almere City will be motivated to change the narrative at home.
Tactical Approaches
Almere City is likely to focus on a defensive setup, aiming to exploit counter-attacks, while NAC Breda may adopt a more possession-based approach to control the game.
Key Players Spotlight
Almere City
- Junior Kadile & Kornelius Hansen: Both have scored 2 goals this season and will be key in Almere's attacking efforts.
- Ricardo Visus: A defensive stalwart with 175.49 points, crucial for maintaining defensive solidity.
NAC Breda
- Elías Már Ómarsson: The top scorer with 7 goals, his form will be vital for Breda's attacking success.
- Jan Van den Bergh: A versatile player with 212.94 points, contributing both defensively and offensively.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: NAC Breda leads with 1.08 goals per match compared to Almere City's 0.65.
- Defensive Metrics: Almere City concedes more goals (2.04) than NAC Breda (1.75).
- Passing and Possession: NAC Breda has a slight edge in possession (41.42%) and passing accuracy.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, NAC Breda is favored to win, but Almere City's home advantage cannot be underestimated. Key factors include NAC Breda's superior goal-scoring ability and Almere City's defensive resilience. Expect a closely fought match with NAC Breda likely edging it.
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