Match Overview
Radomiak Radom and Pogoń Szczecin face off in a pivotal Ekstraklasa match that could influence their positions in the league table. Radomiak Radom, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Pogoń Szczecin aims to capitalize on their strong form and away advantage to claim three points.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Pogoń Szczecin slightly favored to win at 2.16, compared to Radomiak Radom's 2.99. The draw is priced at 3.47, indicating a balanced contest. The probabilities derived from these odds are:
- Home Win: 33.44%
- Draw: 28.82%
- Away Win: 46.30%
Given these odds, Pogoń Szczecin is expected to have a slight edge, but Radomiak Radom's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Team Analysis
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom has shown resilience this season, with a decent average of 1.35 goals per match. Their offensive play is supported by 12.32 shots per game, though they need to improve their accuracy with only 3.87 shots on target. Defensively, they concede 1.52 goals per match, which is a concern against a potent Pogoń Szczecin attack.
Pogoń Szczecin
Pogoń Szczecin boasts a stronger offensive record, averaging 1.73 goals per match. Their possession rate of 55.77% allows them to control games effectively. Defensively, they are more solid, conceding only 1.13 goals per match, which could be pivotal in this encounter.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Pogoń Szczecin has had the upper hand in recent meetings, often outscoring Radomiak Radom. This trend could continue, given their current form and statistical advantages.
Tactical Approaches
Radomiak Radom may focus on counter-attacks, utilizing their dribbling skills (16.35 dribbles per match) to exploit spaces. Pogoń Szczecin, with their superior passing (463.4 passes per match), will likely aim to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities through their key players.
Key Players Spotlight
Radomiak Radom
- Leonardo Rocha: With 11 goals this season, Rocha is Radomiak's main attacking threat.
- Jan Grzesik: Contributing 5 goals, Grzesik's versatility adds depth to their attack.
Pogoń Szczecin
- Efthymios Koulouris: Leading the league with 25 goals, Koulouris is a formidable striker.
- Kamil Grosicki: His experience and 5 goals make him a key player in Pogoń's lineup.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Radomiak Radom averages 1.35 goals per match, while Pogoń Szczecin averages 1.73.
- Pogoń Szczecin's shots on target (5.37) surpass Radomiak's (3.87), indicating a more efficient attack.
Defensive Metrics
- Radomiak Radom concedes 1.52 goals per match, whereas Pogoń Szczecin concedes 1.13.
- Pogoń Szczecin's interceptions (38.93) and clearances (4.93) suggest a more organized defense.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Pogoń Szczecin is likely to emerge victorious, given their superior offensive and defensive statistics. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
Pogoń Szczecin 2 - 1 Radomiak Radom
Half Time Score Prediction
Pogoń Szczecin 1 - 0 Radomiak Radom
Match-Winning Factors
- Pogoń Szczecin's efficient attack led by Koulouris
- Radomiak Radom's potential counter-attacking opportunities
In conclusion, while Radomiak Radom has the home advantage, Pogoń Szczecin's form and statistical superiority make them favorites to win this Ekstraklasa clash.