Match Overview
Raków Częstochowa and Jagiellonia Białystok are set to face off in a pivotal Ekstraklasa match that could have significant implications for the league standings. Raków, currently enjoying a strong season, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Jagiellonia aims to disrupt their plans and climb the table.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for Raków Częstochowa, with odds of 1.75 for a home win, translating to a probability of approximately 57%. The draw is priced at 3.59, indicating a 28% chance, while Jagiellonia Białystok's odds of 4.23 suggest a 24% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Raków is expected to secure the win, but Jagiellonia's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
Team Analysis
Raków Częstochowa
Raków has been impressive this season, with a solid average possession of 53.61% and a commendable goal-scoring rate of 1.52 goals per match. Their defense has been particularly strong, conceding only 0.61 goals per game. Raków's ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities through their average of 12.65 shots per match will be crucial.
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia has shown resilience, with a slightly higher goal-scoring average of 1.68 per match. Their possession rate of 53.26% and ability to score in 58.06% of matches where both teams find the net highlight their offensive capabilities. However, their defense has been less robust, conceding 1.26 goals per game.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Raków has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often leveraging their home advantage. Jagiellonia will need to break this trend and focus on exploiting Raków's occasional defensive lapses.
Tactical Approaches
Raków's strategy will likely focus on maintaining possession and utilizing their strong defensive setup to control the game. Jagiellonia, on the other hand, may adopt a more aggressive approach, aiming to capitalize on their higher expected goals metric of 1.69.
Key Players Spotlight
Raków Częstochowa
- Jonatan Braut Brunes: Leading the scoring charts with 12 goals, his form will be pivotal.
- Ivi López: A creative force with 7 goals, capable of turning the tide.
Jagiellonia Białystok
- Jesús Imaz: Top scorer with 15 goals, his performance could be decisive.
- Afimico Pululu: With 8 goals, he adds depth to Jagiellonia's attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
Raków's defensive metrics, including 36.32 interceptions per match, provide a solid foundation. Their offensive prowess is supported by 4.58 shots on target per game. Jagiellonia's higher expected goals and successful passes rate of 377.58 suggest they can challenge Raków's defense.
Prediction and Conclusion
Raków's home advantage and defensive strength make them favorites, but Jagiellonia's offensive capabilities could lead to a competitive match. Key factors will include Raków's ability to maintain possession and Jagiellonia's effectiveness in converting chances.
Final Score Prediction
Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Jagiellonia Białystok
Half Time Score Prediction
Raków Częstochowa 1-0 Jagiellonia Białystok
Both Teams to Score Probability
58%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability
51%