The upcoming match between Alemannia Aachen and Arminia Bielefeld is set to be a significant fixture in the 3. Liga. Alemannia Aachen, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Tivoli Stadium to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Arminia Bielefeld, with their superior odds, will aim to capitalize on their form and take home three points.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Arminia Bielefeld slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Home Win: 3.01
- Draw: 3.28
- Away Win: 2.33
These odds translate to probabilities of approximately 33.22% for a home win, 30.49% for a draw, and 42.92% for an away win. Arminia Bielefeld's odds indicate a higher likelihood of victory, but the draw remains a plausible outcome given the competitive nature of the league.
Team Analysis
Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen's season has been marked by mixed performances. With an average of 1.07 goals per match and a possession rate of 41.97%, they have struggled to dominate games. Their defense, conceding 1.14 goals per match, will need to be solid against Bielefeld's attacking prowess.
- Strengths: High BTTS percentage (62.07%), effective dribbling (11.03 successful dribbles per match)
- Weaknesses: Low possession, vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (5.62 per match)
Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld has shown stronger form, with 1.46 goals per match and a possession rate of 56.25%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their expected goals of 1.71 per match.
- Strengths: High possession, effective passing (336.68 successful passes per match)
- Weaknesses: Slightly higher conceded goals (1.04 per match)
Head-to-Head
Historically, Arminia Bielefeld has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outperforming Alemannia Aachen. This trend is reflected in their current odds and form.
Tactical Approaches
Alemannia Aachen may opt for a counter-attacking strategy, utilizing their dribbling skills to exploit Bielefeld's defensive gaps. Conversely, Arminia Bielefeld will likely focus on maintaining possession and creating opportunities through their superior passing game.
Key Players Spotlight
Alemannia Aachen
- Sasa Strujic: Top scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Aachen's attacking efforts.
- Soufiane El-Faouzi: Key playmaker, contributing significantly to Aachen's offensive plays.
Arminia Bielefeld
- Julian Kania: Leading goal scorer with 11 goals, a constant threat to Aachen's defense.
- Joel Grodowski: Versatile forward, capable of creating and finishing chances.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Alemannia Aachen: Average shots on target (4.34), expected goals (1.36)
- Arminia Bielefeld: Higher average shots (15.21), expected goals (1.71)
Arminia Bielefeld's offensive metrics suggest they have a statistical edge, particularly in creating goal-scoring opportunities.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Arminia Bielefeld is favored to win, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors such as possession and goal-scoring capabilities will likely determine the outcome.
Final Score Prediction: Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Alemannia Aachen Potential Match-Winning Factors: Bielefeld's possession and passing accuracy, Aachen's counter-attacking potential.