Match Overview
The upcoming 3. Liga match between Borussia Dortmund II and Ingolstadt is poised to be a captivating contest. With both teams striving for a strong finish in the league, this match holds substantial importance in shaping their season trajectory. Borussia Dortmund II, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Stadion Rote Erde to gain an advantage over Ingolstadt.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive edge for Ingolstadt, with odds of 2.1 for an away win compared to 3.1 for a home victory and 3.6 for a draw. This translates to a probability of approximately 47.6% for Ingolstadt to win, 27.8% for Borussia Dortmund II, and 27.8% for a draw. The odds indicate a slight favoritism towards Ingolstadt, reflecting their stronger form and performance metrics this season.
Team Analysis
Borussia Dortmund II
- Current Form: Borussia Dortmund II has played 30 matches this season, with a mixed record of results.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 1.37 goals per match and a high dribble success rate of 15.47.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with 1.43 goals conceded per match and a possession rate of 45.7%.
Ingolstadt
- Current Form: Ingolstadt has shown consistency with 28 matches played, maintaining a solid performance.
- Strengths: Ingolstadt boasts a higher goal average of 1.89 per match and a possession rate of 48%, indicating a balanced approach.
- Weaknesses: Despite their offensive prowess, they concede 1.5 goals per match, which could be exploited by Dortmund II.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, these teams have had closely contested matches, with Ingolstadt often edging out Dortmund II in terms of victories. The tactical approaches of both teams will be crucial in determining the outcome.
Key Players Spotlight
Borussia Dortmund II
- Julian Hettwer: With 11 goals this season, Hettwer is a key offensive asset.
- Marcel Lotka: His defensive contributions are vital, with a season rating of 172.72.
Ingolstadt
- Sebastian Grönning: Leading the scoring charts with 16 goals, Grönning is a formidable threat.
- Pelle Boevink: His defensive prowess is reflected in a season rating of 189.01.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Ingolstadt's average of 1.89 goals per match surpasses Dortmund II's 1.37, indicating a stronger attacking force.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive statistics, with Dortmund II slightly better in interceptions (47.8 vs. 42.71).
- Possession and Passing: Ingolstadt's possession rate of 48% and successful passes average of 297.75 give them a slight edge in controlling the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data and current form, Ingolstadt appears to have the upper hand in this matchup. Their offensive strength and balanced gameplay could be decisive factors. However, Borussia Dortmund II's home advantage and key players like Julian Hettwer could influence the outcome.
Final Score Prediction
Ingolstadt 2 - 1 Borussia Dortmund II
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Ingolstadt's offensive depth and goal-scoring ability
- Borussia Dortmund II's home advantage and key player performances
In conclusion, while Ingolstadt is favored to win, Borussia Dortmund II's resilience and tactical adjustments could lead to a closely fought contest.