MATCH OVERVIEW
Stuttgart II and Wehen Wiesbaden face off in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. Stuttgart II, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to secure vital points. Meanwhile, Wehen Wiesbaden, with a slightly better form, will aim to assert their dominance and continue their push up the table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds suggest a competitive match, with Wehen Wiesbaden slightly favored at 2.15, compared to Stuttgart II's 3.00. The draw is priced at 3.5, indicating a balanced contest. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 31.7% for a Stuttgart II win, 28.6% for a draw, and 46.5% for a Wehen Wiesbaden victory. Given these figures, Wehen Wiesbaden is expected to edge out Stuttgart II, but the home side's resilience could lead to a surprise result.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Stuttgart II has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.29 goals per match and a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 85.71%. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident with an Expected Goals Against of 2.06. Wehen Wiesbaden, on the other hand, boasts a stronger offensive record with 1.71 goals per game and a solid Expected Goals of 2.16. Their defensive metrics are slightly better, with an Expected Goals Against of 1.94, suggesting a more balanced side.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Stuttgart II, Mohamed Sankoh has been a key figure with 2 goals this season, while Nicolas Sessa and Noah Darvich have also contributed to the scoreline. Wehen Wiesbaden's Nikolas Agrafiotis stands out with 4 goals, supported by Fatih Kaya and Moritz Flotho, each with 2 goals. The battle between Sankoh and Agrafiotis could be decisive in determining the match's outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Stuttgart II's possession rate of 50.86% and Wehen Wiesbaden's 46.57% indicate a potential midfield battle. Stuttgart II's dribbling success and Wehen Wiesbaden's higher shot count suggest contrasting styles. Defensively, both teams have similar interception rates, but Wehen Wiesbaden's lower Dangerous Own Half Losses could give them an edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Wehen Wiesbaden appears to have a slight advantage, particularly in offensive capabilities. However, Stuttgart II's home advantage and high Both Teams To Score percentage suggest they could pose a significant threat. The match is likely to be closely contested, with Wehen Wiesbaden potentially edging it out. Final score prediction: Stuttgart II 1-2 Wehen Wiesbaden.
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