Match Overview
Carrarese and Bari are set to face off in a pivotal Serie B match that could have significant implications for their playoff aspirations. Both teams are in the hunt for a top-six finish, making this encounter crucial for their season objectives. The match will be held at the Stadio dei Marmi, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere, adding to the intensity of the clash.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Carrarese slightly favored at 2.32, while both the draw and Bari win are priced at 3.02. This indicates a 43.1% probability for a Carrarese victory, a 33.1% chance for a draw, and a 33.1% likelihood of a Bari win. Given these odds, Carrarese holds a slight edge, but the evenly matched odds reflect the competitive nature of this fixture.
Team Analysis
Carrarese
Carrarese has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 0.97 goals per match and a possession rate of 50%. Their offensive play is characterized by 11.07 shots per game, with 3.76 on target. Defensively, they concede 1.31 goals per match, highlighting a need for improvement at the back.
Bari
Bari, on the other hand, has been slightly more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.07 goals per match. Their possession stands at 50.87%, and they manage 11.7 shots per game, with 3.47 on target. Bari's defense has been more robust, conceding only 0.93 goals per match, which could be a decisive factor in this encounter.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, matches between Carrarese and Bari have been tightly contested, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical approaches of both teams will be crucial, with Carrarese likely to focus on their dribbling and passing game, while Bari may leverage their defensive solidity and counter-attacking prowess.
Key Players Spotlight
Carrarese
- Mattia Finotto: Leading the scoring charts for Carrarese with 5 goals, Finotto's ability to find the net will be vital.
- N. Schiavi: With 4 goals, Schiavi's contributions in attack are crucial.
Bari
- Kevin Lasagna: Bari's top scorer with 5 goals, Lasagna's form will be key to breaking down Carrarese's defense.
- Mehdi Dorval: A versatile player with 4 goals, Dorval's impact in both attack and defense is significant.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Carrarese: 11.07 shots per game, 3.76 on target, 0.97 goals per match.
- Bari: 11.7 shots per game, 3.47 on target, 1.07 goals per match.
Defensive Metrics
- Carrarese: 1.31 goals conceded per match, 38.76 interceptions.
- Bari: 0.93 goals conceded per match, 36.2 interceptions.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and odds, Carrarese holds a slight advantage, but Bari's defensive strength could prove pivotal. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Carrarese's ability to capitalize on their chances and Bari's counter-attacking efficiency. Expect a closely fought contest with potential for both teams to score.
Final Score Prediction: Carrarese 1-1 Bari Half Time Score Prediction: Carrarese 0-0 Bari Probability for Both Teams to Score: 50% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 40%