MATCH OVERVIEW
Getafe will host Athletic Bilbao in a pivotal La Liga match that promises to be a thrilling contest. With the season drawing to a close, every point is crucial for both teams as they aim to finish strong. The match will be held at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere, on May 15, 2025, at 19:30.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds suggest a competitive match, with Athletic Bilbao slightly favored to win. The average odds are 3.65 for a Getafe win, 2.77 for a draw, and 2.26 for an Athletic Bilbao victory. This translates to a probability of approximately 27.4% for Getafe, 36.1% for a draw, and 44.2% for Athletic Bilbao. The odds indicate a close contest, but Athletic Bilbao's form gives them a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Getafe
Getafe has had a challenging season, with an average of 0.91 goals per match and a possession rate of 43.5%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 0.91 goals per game. However, their offensive struggles are evident, with only 10 matches featuring over 2.5 goals. Key players like Mauro Arambarri, who has scored 9 goals, will be crucial in this fixture.
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.52 goals per match. Their possession rate of 48.55% and a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.79 goals per game, highlight their balanced approach. Oihan Sancet, with 15 goals this season, will be a key player to watch.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Athletic Bilbao has had the upper hand in this fixture, often securing victories against Getafe. Their tactical approach, focusing on quick transitions and solid defense, has proven effective against Getafe's style.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Getafe
- Mauro Arambarri: With 9 goals, Arambarri is Getafe's top scorer and a vital player in their midfield.
- Borja Mayoral: Known for his ability to find space and score, Mayoral will be crucial in breaking down Athletic's defense.
Athletic Bilbao
- Oihan Sancet: Leading the scoring charts with 15 goals, Sancet's form will be pivotal.
- Iñaki Williams: His pace and ability to stretch defenses make him a constant threat.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Getafe averages 10.65 shots per game, with 3.53 on target.
- Athletic Bilbao averages 11.97 shots per game, with 4.36 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Getafe's defense is solid, with 39 interceptions per game.
- Athletic Bilbao's defense is slightly better, conceding fewer goals and making 38.91 interceptions.
Possession and Passing
- Getafe's possession is lower at 43.5%, with 283.47 passes per game.
- Athletic Bilbao controls the game better with 48.55% possession and 410.12 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Athletic Bilbao is likely to edge out Getafe due to their superior offensive capabilities and balanced team structure. Key factors include Athletic's ability to score and maintain possession, which could be decisive.
Final Score Prediction
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Getafe
Half Time Score Prediction
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Getafe
Match-Winning Factors
- Athletic Bilbao's attacking prowess and defensive solidity.
- Getafe's reliance on key players like Arambarri to create scoring opportunities.
In conclusion, while Getafe will put up a strong fight, Athletic Bilbao's form and tactical approach should see them secure a narrow victory.